{"id":230,"date":"2020-04-10T01:03:00","date_gmt":"2020-04-09T23:03:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/houzardc.wordpress.com\/?p=230"},"modified":"2020-06-01T12:17:35","modified_gmt":"2020-06-01T10:17:35","slug":"analyse-du-09-avril-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?p=230","title":{"rendered":"Analyse du 09 Avril 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Bonjour \u00e0 tous,&nbsp;<br>Pour les chiffres d&#8217;hier:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>France<\/strong>: pour la France, et pour tous les pays, la&nbsp;situation sur les 2 derniers jours s&#8217;est (plut\u00f4t) aggrav\u00e9e: on est de retour sur une augmentation journali\u00e8re semblable \u00e0 celle du d\u00e9but de semaine. Cependant, hier, &nbsp;le nombre de cas admis en r\u00e9animation a baiss\u00e9 de 82 personnes, signalant une&nbsp;potentielle&nbsp;d\u00e9charge&nbsp;de nos&nbsp;h\u00f4pitaux.<\/li><li><strong>US<\/strong>: Le nombre de nouveaux cas&nbsp;stagne. A NYC, la situation s&#8217;am\u00e9liore. Cependant il n&#8217;y a pas de confinement aussi strict qu&#8217;en France g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9 \u00e0 tout le pays: les am\u00e9ricains restent relativement libre de leurs&nbsp;mouvements. On peut alors se&nbsp;demander s&#8217;il n&#8217;y aura&nbsp;pas de nouveaux pics dans d&#8217;autres \u00e9tats\/villes&nbsp;peupl\u00e9s. Pour une bilan sur situation l\u00e0 bas, je conseille cet&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2020\/us\/coronavirus-us-cases.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">article<\/a>&nbsp;du NYTimes, tr\u00e8s visuel. De plus, on peut pr\u00e9voir que les US auront plus de morts que l&#8217;Italie d&#8217;ici&nbsp;dimanche.<\/li><li><strong>Italie<\/strong>: Le nombre de cas Italien continue a&nbsp;augmenter de mani\u00e8re semblable \u00e0 la France et l&#8217;Allemagne: nous voyons&nbsp;alors bien qu&#8217;il n&#8217;est pas le moment de rompre le confinement \u00e9tant donn\u00e9e la&nbsp;d\u00e9croissance a du&nbsp;mal \u00e0 s&#8217;inscrire dans la dur\u00e9e.<\/li><li><strong>Allemagne<\/strong>: Les allemands aussi ont du mal \u00e0&nbsp;confirmer la baisse du nombre de cas journalier: ils oscillent entre&nbsp;+4000 et&nbsp;+7000 depuis une semaine.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>Enfin, une remarque global, on peut voir sur le 1er&nbsp;graph&nbsp;que si aucune mesure de confinement n&#8217;avait \u00e9t\u00e9 prise, nous aurions plus de 1 million de cas&nbsp;aujourd&#8217;hui dans chacun des pays ci-dessus.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"8640\" height=\"4380\" src=\"https:\/\/houzardc.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020.png?w=750\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-170\" srcset=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020.png 8640w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020-300x152.png 300w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020-1024x519.png 1024w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020-768x389.png 768w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020-1536x779.png 1536w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020-2048x1038.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 8640px) 100vw, 8640px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignfull is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/12-04-2020_world.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"519\" src=\"http:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_stack-1024x519.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-171\" srcset=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_stack-1024x519.png 1024w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_stack-300x152.png 300w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_stack-768x389.png 768w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_stack-1536x779.png 1536w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_stack-2048x1038.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"http:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_world.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"519\" src=\"http:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_world-1024x519.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-172\" srcset=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_world-1024x519.png 1024w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_world-300x152.png 300w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_world-768x389.png 768w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_world-1536x779.png 1536w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020_world-2048x1038.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Bonus du jour: un&nbsp;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/les-decodeurs\/article\/2020\/04\/07\/les-enjeux-du-deconfinement-expliques-en-schemas_6035827_4355770.html\" target=\"_blank\">article<\/a>&nbsp;des&nbsp;D\u00e9codeurs du Monde sur les&nbsp;scenarii possibles de d\u00e9confinement&nbsp;accompagn\u00e9s de sch\u00e9mas.&nbsp;<br>Bon WE \u00e0&nbsp;tous,Cl\u00e9ment<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bonjour \u00e0 tous,&nbsp;Pour les chiffres d&#8217;hier: France: pour la France, et pour tous les pays, la&nbsp;situation sur les 2 derniers jours s&#8217;est (plut\u00f4t) aggrav\u00e9e: on est de retour sur une augmentation journali\u00e8re semblable \u00e0 celle du d\u00e9but de semaine. Cependant, hier, &nbsp;le nombre de cas admis en r\u00e9animation a baiss\u00e9 de 82 personnes, signalant une&nbsp;potentielle&nbsp;d\u00e9charge&nbsp;de<a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?p=230\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;Analyse du 09 Avril 2020&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":170,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-230","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-briefs-tri-hebdos","entry"],"modified_by":null,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/09-04-2020.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/230","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=230"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/230\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":772,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/230\/revisions\/772"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/170"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=230"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=230"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=230"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}