{"id":124,"date":"2020-03-26T23:28:00","date_gmt":"2020-03-26T22:28:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/houzardc.wordpress.com\/?p=124"},"modified":"2020-06-01T12:17:35","modified_gmt":"2020-06-01T10:17:35","slug":"analyse-du-26-mars-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?p=124","title":{"rendered":"Analyse du 26 Mars 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Bonjour \u00e0 tous,\u00a0<br>Quelques \u00e9l\u00e9ments d&#8217;analyse des courbes du jour:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>France<\/strong>: progression assez faible \u00e0 12% mais surement un nombre de cas qui va fortement augmenter ces prochains jours pour plusieurs raisons. Tout d\u2019abord le nombre de soignants contamin\u00e9s va s\u00fbrement augmenter, le gouvernement va changer les m\u00e9thodes de calculs et prendre en compte les morts dans les EPHAD, enfin un plus grand nombre de tests seront disponibles. Ce dernier point fera s\u00fbrement baisser le taux de l\u00e9talit\u00e9, cependant. Ces courbes restent tr\u00e8s tributaires des donn\u00e9es fournies qui ne peuvent pas \u00eatre crois\u00e9es avec d\u2019autres sources. Le taux de l\u00e9talit\u00e9 semble d\u2019ailleurs suivre la progression italienne avec 18j de retard. (mais ce n\u2019est pas le cas du taux de croissance).<\/li><li><strong>US<\/strong>: vous avez du le voir hier, c\u2019est devenu le premier pays en terme de nombre de cas (83,3k cas vs 80.6k pour l\u2019Italie &#8211; France, 29.5k, Allemagne 44.0k).<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Italie<\/strong>: l\u2019inflexion est devenue tr\u00e8s visuelle maintenant sur le\u00a0graph\u00a01 avec un taux de croissance \u00e0 7%\/j<\/li><li><strong>Allemagne<\/strong>: Situation toujours similaire \u00e0 la France en terme de taux de progression (nombre de cas 2x + important). Le pic arrivera s\u00fbrement \u00e0 peu pr\u00e8s en m\u00eame temps que nous<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/04\/26-03-2020.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"8640\" height=\"4380\" src=\"https:\/\/houzardc.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/04\/image-9.png?w=1024\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-126\" srcset=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-9.png 8640w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-9-300x152.png 300w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-9-1024x519.png 1024w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-9-768x389.png 768w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-9-1536x779.png 1536w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-9-2048x1038.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 8640px) 100vw, 8640px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Pour un peu plus de l\u00e9g\u00e8ret\u00e9, une belle vid\u00e9o de Lyon!\u00a0<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/vimeo.com\/400678144\" target=\"_blank\">https:\/\/vimeo.com\/400678144<\/a><br>Bonne journ\u00e9e \u00e0 tous,\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cl\u00e9ment\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bonjour \u00e0 tous,\u00a0Quelques \u00e9l\u00e9ments d&#8217;analyse des courbes du jour: France: progression assez faible \u00e0 12% mais surement un nombre de cas qui va fortement augmenter ces prochains jours pour plusieurs raisons. Tout d\u2019abord le nombre de soignants contamin\u00e9s va s\u00fbrement augmenter, le gouvernement va changer les m\u00e9thodes de calculs et prendre en compte les morts<a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?p=124\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;Analyse du 26 Mars 2020&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":121,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-124","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-briefs-tri-hebdos","entry"],"modified_by":null,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-8.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=124"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":843,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124\/revisions\/843"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/121"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=124"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=124"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=124"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}