{"id":118,"date":"2020-03-24T23:22:00","date_gmt":"2020-03-24T22:22:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/houzardc.wordpress.com\/?p=118"},"modified":"2020-06-01T12:17:35","modified_gmt":"2020-06-01T10:17:35","slug":"analyse-du-24-mars-2020","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?p=118","title":{"rendered":"Analyse du 24 mars 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Bonjour \u00e0 tous,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00a0<br>Voici l&#8217;analyse du jour :<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>France<\/strong>: malgr\u00e9 un petit retour \u00e0 la hausse hier, on confirme le ralentissement de la progression de l\u2019\u00e9pid\u00e9mie, qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 entam\u00e9 le&nbsp;19\/03. Il y a, en moyenne, 16% de cas en plus\/j vs 30\/33% avant le&nbsp;19\/03 (cf&nbsp;graph&nbsp;1 et 4). Cependant le taux de l\u00e9talit\u00e9 continue \u00e0 augmenter fortement +2 points en 1 semaine (graph&nbsp;2).<\/li><li><strong>US<\/strong>: des signes de ralentissement de la croissance du nombre de cas mais qui reste bien au dessus des pays europ\u00e9ens (27% vs 15\/20%) et un nombre de cas qui se rapproche de celui de l\u2019Italie (53.7k pour les US, 69.2k pour l\u2019Italie &#8211; pour info, France 22.6k et Allemagne, 33.0k). Mais le syst\u00e8me de sant\u00e9 Am\u00e9ricain ne semble pas trop souffrir si on se base sur le taux de l\u00e9talit\u00e9.<\/li><li><strong>Italy<\/strong>: Le taux de croissance est reparti \u00e0 la baisse, enfin! On assisterait donc bien au pic de l\u2019\u00e9pid\u00e9mie.&nbsp;<\/li><li><strong>Allemagne<\/strong>: comme depuis le d\u00e9but de l\u2019\u00e9pid\u00e9mie, le nombre de cas est semblable \u00e0 la France avec un taux de croissance qui est presque le m\u00eame que le taux fran\u00e7ais. Le taux de l\u00e9talit\u00e9 bas peut \u00eatre expliqu\u00e9 par une d\u00e9mographie des personnes touch\u00e9es qui est jeune et un recensement des morts d\u00fbs au&nbsp;Covid-19&nbsp;non syst\u00e9matique (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nouvelobs.com\/coronavirus-de-wuhan\/20200320.OBS26330\/coronavirus-pourquoi-ce-faible-nombre-de-morts-en-allemagne.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.nouvelobs.com\/coronavirus-de-wuhan\/20200320.OBS26330\/coronavirus-pourquoi-ce-faible-nombre-de-morts-en-allemagne.html<\/a>&nbsp;ou&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/planete\/article\/2020\/03\/21\/en-allemagne-le-faible-taux-de-mortalite-interroge_6033957_3244.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">https:\/\/www.lemonde.fr\/planete\/article\/2020\/03\/21\/en-allemagne-le-faible-taux-de-mortalite-interroge_6033957_3244.html<\/a>)<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/04\/24-03-2020.pdf\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"8640\" height=\"4386\" src=\"https:\/\/houzardc.files.wordpress.com\/2020\/04\/image-8.png?w=1024\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-121\" srcset=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-8.png 8640w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-8-300x152.png 300w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-8-1024x520.png 1024w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-8-768x390.png 768w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-8-1536x780.png 1536w, https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-8-2048x1040.png 2048w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 8640px) 100vw, 8640px\" \/><\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bonjour \u00e0 tous, \u00a0Voici l&#8217;analyse du jour : France: malgr\u00e9 un petit retour \u00e0 la hausse hier, on confirme le ralentissement de la progression de l\u2019\u00e9pid\u00e9mie, qui a \u00e9t\u00e9 entam\u00e9 le&nbsp;19\/03. Il y a, en moyenne, 16% de cas en plus\/j vs 30\/33% avant le&nbsp;19\/03 (cf&nbsp;graph&nbsp;1 et 4). Cependant le taux de l\u00e9talit\u00e9 continue \u00e0<a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?p=118\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;Analyse du 24 mars 2020&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":121,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-118","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-briefs-tri-hebdos","entry"],"modified_by":null,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/image-8.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=118"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":844,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/118\/revisions\/844"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/121"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=118"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=118"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=118"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}