{"id":1101,"date":"2020-05-15T13:30:09","date_gmt":"2020-05-15T11:30:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?p=1101"},"modified":"2020-06-01T12:17:34","modified_gmt":"2020-06-01T10:17:34","slug":"analyse-du-15-mai","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?p=1101","title":{"rendered":"Analyse du 15 Mai 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Bonjour \u00e0 tous,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Voici quelques \u00e9l\u00e9ments d&#8217;analyse pour les graphs du jour:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>France<\/strong>: le nombre de nouveaux cas journaliers est constant depuis quelques jours. Cependant cela n&#8217;indique pas n\u00e9cessairement une reprise des cas, il est encore un peu t\u00f4t pour observer les effets du d\u00e9confinement. De plus, on a d\u00e9j\u00e0 observ\u00e9 une baisse par palier. Les indicateurs c\u00f4t\u00e9s h\u00f4pitaux continuent de baisser. Je vous inviter \u00e0 venir <a href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?page_id=962\">ici pour les observer<\/a>. Pour mettre les <a href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?page_id=445\">pr\u00e9dictions en perspective<\/a>, une croissance &#8220;normale&#8221; dans les prochains jours serait de +400 cas\/j (\u00b1200, les chiffres restent assez variables d&#8217;un jour \u00e0 l&#8217;autre)<\/li><li><strong>US<\/strong>: la baisse semble r\u00e9ellement engag\u00e9e. Leurs chiffres auraient plus de sens s&#8217;ils \u00e9taient liss\u00e9s avec une moyenne mobile sur 7j. Il semble y avoir -5000 nouveaux cas\/j tous les 8\/10j (pour les pays europ\u00e9ens, la baisse \u00e9tait autour de -1000 nouveaux cas\/j tous les 8\/10j). Les pr\u00e9dictions commencent d&#8217;ailleurs \u00e0 se stabiliser.<\/li><li><strong>Italie<\/strong>: l&#8217;Italie semble avoir 1000 cas\/j depuis 4\/5j. Comme pour la France, cela n&#8217;indique pas forc\u00e9ment une recirculation active du virus, il faudra observer la situation lundi.<\/li><li><strong>Allemagne<\/strong>: les nouveaux clusters allemands dont nous avons parl\u00e9 la semaine derni\u00e8re  semblent bien \u00eatre locaux, il n&#8217;y pas de nouveaux cas en masse.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/14-05-2020.pdf\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/14-05-2020_preview.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns alignfull is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/14-05-2020_World.pdf\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/14-05-2020_preview_world.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\">\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/14-05-2020_stack.pdf\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/14-05-2020_preview_stack.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Bonne journ\u00e9e, <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cl\u00e9ment<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bonjour \u00e0 tous, Voici quelques \u00e9l\u00e9ments d&#8217;analyse pour les graphs du jour: France: le nombre de nouveaux cas journaliers est constant depuis quelques jours. Cependant cela n&#8217;indique pas n\u00e9cessairement une reprise des cas, il est encore un peu t\u00f4t pour observer les effets du d\u00e9confinement. De plus, on a d\u00e9j\u00e0 observ\u00e9 une baisse par palier.<a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?p=1101\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;Analyse du 15 Mai 2020&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1102,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1101","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-briefs-tri-hebdos","entry"],"modified_by":"Cl\u00e9ment Houzard","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/14-05-2020_preview.png","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1101","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1101"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1101\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1112,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1101\/revisions\/1112"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1102"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1101"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1101"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1101"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}