{"id":1643,"date":"2022-01-26T19:52:20","date_gmt":"2022-01-26T18:52:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?page_id=1643"},"modified":"2022-02-03T09:53:44","modified_gmt":"2022-02-03T08:53:44","slug":"modele-sir-pour-la-france","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?page_id=1643","title":{"rendered":"Mod\u00e8le SIR pour la France"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Une \u00e9pid\u00e9mie peut \u00eatre mod\u00e9lis\u00e9 par le <a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Compartmental_models_in_epidemiology#The_SIR_model_without_vital_dynamics\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">mod\u00e8le SIR<\/a>, la population est coup\u00e9e en 3 cat\u00e9gories:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Infected<\/strong>: personnes \u00e9tant malades<\/li><li><strong>Recovered<\/strong>: personnes ayant \u00e9t\u00e9 malades et encore immunis\u00e9s <\/li><li><strong>Suspected<\/strong>: personnes non-immunis\u00e9s<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>On peut appliquer cela au Covid-19 en consid\u00e9rant les d\u00e9finitions suivantes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong>Infected<\/strong>: somme des tests positifs sur les <strong>7 derniers jours<\/strong><\/li><li><strong>Recovered<\/strong>: somme des tests positifs sur les <strong>4 derniers mois<\/strong> moins les infect\u00e9s<\/li><li><strong>Suspected<\/strong>: populations moins les infected + recovered<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/Graphs\/French_SIR.pdf\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/Graphs\/French_SIR_preview.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><a href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/Graphs\/French_SI.pdf\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/wp-content\/uploads\/Graphs\/French_SI_preview.png\" alt=\"\"\/><\/a><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Une \u00e9pid\u00e9mie peut \u00eatre mod\u00e9lis\u00e9 par le mod\u00e8le SIR, la population est coup\u00e9e en 3 cat\u00e9gories: Infected: personnes \u00e9tant malades Recovered: personnes ayant \u00e9t\u00e9 malades et encore immunis\u00e9s Suspected: personnes non-immunis\u00e9s On peut appliquer cela au Covid-19 en consid\u00e9rant les d\u00e9finitions suivantes: Infected: somme des tests positifs sur les 7 derniers jours Recovered: somme des<a class=\"more-link\" href=\"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/?page_id=1643\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">&#8220;Mod\u00e8le SIR pour la France&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1643","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","entry"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1643","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1643"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1643\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1649,"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1643\/revisions\/1649"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/houzardc.fr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1643"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}